Missiles Reigning Down From All Points Possible
July 8, 2008, Matthew Good They tried it here on the home continent and didn’t get too far. Fears that North Korean missiles might reign down on North Battleford, Saskatchewan, weren’t enough to convince the government that all out Canadian participation in the proposed defense shield was warranted. As many of you are aware, I was very much opposed to Canada’s participation in the BMD program, and was proud to stand with Steve Staples and others involved in the Ceasefire initiative against it.
Unfortunately, and despite the fact the most Czechs want nothing to do with it, the government of the Czech Republic today signed a deal with the United States to base part of its missile defense system in the country. As of yet, the United States has failed to reach an agreement with the Polish to play host to the remaining part of the system. Another positive at this point is that Czech opposition parties are calling for a national referendum on the issue, especially pertaining to US personnel being based in the country.
Of course, and perhaps rightly so, the Russians have raised stringent objections to the implementation of the system in their backyard, and it should not be overlooked that its introduction is a power play on the part of the Bush Administration with regards to shoring up influence in the region. The United States has played quintessential roles behind the scenes with regards to supporting various pro-Western political parties in numerous Eastern European nations in recent years, such as Ukraine, in an attempt to influence outcomes in their favour – primarily to do with the potential acquisition of lucrative defense contracts and other economic opportunities. The introduction of a missile defense shield in the region only strengthens their position and will no doubt provide them other opportunities, primarily with regards to placating the US defense sector.
The fear mongering involved in the implementation of a missile defense shield in Eastern Europe is that Iran could attain nuclear weapons that possess long-range capabilities. Of course, the logical question has to be asked – why would the Iranians employ intercontinental nuclear weapons against anyone in that region? Would it be to target US bases located throughout it, or because the Iranians simply really despise the Poles?
Logic, in this instance, must not be disregarded. The implementation of the system so close to Russia sends a very clear message. It would be absolutely no different than the Russians implementing a ballistic missile defense system in Central America or northern South America. The US response to such a move would be one of utter outrage, and the reaction of the current Canadian government would be no different.
Of course, at that point we would be asking realistic questions, such as – why are the Russians implementing the system? What threat is it protecting the region from, and does the threat have a viable nuclear capability that constitutes a serious threat? And if the answers to those questions are vague at best, then we must also ask them of the US backed missile defense system being implemented in Eastern Europe.
When it comes to the Middle East and the possession of nuclear weapons, Western xenophobia immediately rears its head. Unlike most, Muslim nations* are viewed as being viable nuclear threats were they to possess nuclear weapons because, in the simplest of terms, we think them largely ignorant and immoral. Many believe they lack any capacity of conscience with regards to truly understanding the ramifications of actually employing nuclear weapons, which betrays our hypocrisy all the more.
* It should be pointed out that Pakistan is a nuclear power and is also a Muslim nation.
This is right about the point when some like to point out the fact that a questionable government governs Iran and that it supports Hezbollah. I have, in the past, addressed the realities of what would occur were Iran to either gift a nuclear weapon to a terrorist group for use against, for example, Israel, or if the Iranians themselves were to employ one directly. The truth of the matter is that, in either scenario, Iran would be the recipient of an overwhelming nuclear response, one that would decimate the nation, killing hundreds of thousands, if not millions of people.
Now, you can apply whatever xenophobic malaise that you’d like at this point, but to actually believe the government of Iran, or those within its military infrastructure, would risk the lives of that many of their countrymen, including their own lives and those of their families, is, as far as I am concerned, simply ridiculous. What purpose would it ultimately serve? That Iran was able to use, at best, a handful of weapons (when they actually acquire them, as they have none now) against a nation like Israel that can respond with hundreds of its own? And that’s not even taking into account the American nuclear response that would no doubt be included. It is, in a word, suicide.
Iran’s entire political infrastructure would be wiped out. Its military would be largely decimated, and its people would be left in a wilderness replete with burning ruins and fallout that would make Hiroshima look like Dinseyland. And for what? The off chance that they were able to launch maybe two or three missiles at Israel? The math is madness, but it is a madness that we have come to believe them capable of.
Why? Because as far as most are concerned the entire nation of Iran is home to millions of terrorist sympathizers. And the Iranians are not alone in that distinction either. Most view the majority of the Arab and Persian world to be sympathetic to terrorist actions. Ironically, following 9/11, one million Palestinian students in the Palestinian Territory and East Jerusalem expressed their solidarity with the hundreds of American children that lost family that day by observing five minutes of silence. These are the same children that are commonly cast as ‘terrorists in training’ by many in the West. In Tehran, an immense vigil was held after 9/11, though went completely unreported.
Of course, the Iranian government is definitely guilty of suspect practices. I’ll not deny that. Then again, so is the Saudi government, a nation in which no vigils were held for the victims of 9/11. Mind you, none of the hijackers that day were Iranian, while fifteen of them were Saudis. This ultimately begs the question – why is Saudi Arabia, along with a host of other Arab nations, being gifted some $20 billion dollars in military aid by the United States over the next decade? Why has next to nothing been said about the fact that while the Saudis are routinely promoted as a staunch US ally they have been complicit in covertly funding Sunni groups in Iraq, the very same thing that the Iranians have been routinely condemned for regarding Shi’ite militias? And lastly, what about the fact that the majority of foreign Mujahideen, better known to most Western television audiences as ‘al-Qaeda in Iraq’, are Saudi nationals?
One has to ask a basic question at this point – what if the Saudis wanted to possess a nuclear capability? Given their influence over OPEC and the fact that they have trillions invested in the US, do you honestly believe that the United States would employ threats against them, let alone attempt to have the UN institute economic sanctions? Given that the two holiest places in Islam are located in Saudi Arabia, were the nation invaded, the Muslim world would truly rise up, and not in some wholly propagandized sense as has been promoted these past seven years. It would be no different were Italy invaded by some foreign power and the Vatican occupied.
In the end, how we view the Arab and Persian world is quintessential. As it stands now, and despite our own histories of monumental transgressions, the truth is that many view them as morally inferior, the results of confusing the actions of a zealous and radical handful with an entire faith and the people who follow it. The proliferation of this phenomenon only serves to further alienate those that would seek to find and share common ground, ultimately resulting in widening a gulf that ‘moral people’ should never have allowed to develop in the first place.
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Have you ever considered going into teaching? You could plan your tours during the school breaks, writing during the summer and teaching the masses during the school year :-) Point being, you are a great writer of these complicated matters. You help someone like myself who does not have time to read up on [or truth be told, the desire to read a corrupted authors' opinion] about the insanity of what’s going on in and around our world!
According to his website, John McCain “strongly supports the development and deployment of theater and national missile defenses.” The real reason is to allow American military forces to operate overseas without being deterred. Spend huge sums of money and encourage an enormous amount of nuclear proliferation because that would facilitate the launching of new aggressive wars. Missile Defense will costs tens of billions a year and is close to technically infeasible - in return for protection against largely non-existent threats.
I believe in the majority of your words Matt but what is your proposed solution in these matters? In regards to the warheads: Do you take them away from all nations? Or do you allow all to have them? I think the nations with the warheads would be the only ones against tearing them down.
I agree with your point of how the naive public views the Muslim community. We couldn’t view them any stranger if they landed in a UFO. Not just Muslims, but the majority of the world is the SAME when stripped of all genetic brands or titles. Go to work, hug your kids, love your wife, hate your boss etc. The sooner we can as a society beat this into our skulls the better.
With the subject of Israel we look from afar to how they handle situations and judge against their actions. I think their vantage point of being IN the fire makes them too decisive to act, most times to a fault.
[quote comment="57922"]Have you ever considered going into teaching? You could plan your tours during the school breaks, writing during the summer and teaching the masses during the school year :-) Point being, you are a great writer of these complicated matters. You help someone like myself who does not have time to read up on [or truth be told, the desire to read a corrupted authors' opinion] about the insanity of what’s going on in and around our world![/quote]
Funny you mentioned this, because I recently said the same thing about teaching. He could have the best of both worlds. Someone like Matt would breeze through college.
Thanks for that, an excellent piece. To be honest, i’ve learned so much since I started coming to this site - and this is why I keep coming back. I have developed a healthy skepticism for what I read and hear in the “mainstream” media, thanks to writing like this. Interesting comaprison - I can imagine the panic if Russia built bases in Central America. The American connections to the Saudis need to be better understood by more people. I think it illustrates the hypocricy of US foreign policy very nicely.
Thanks, Matt.
John
Great post Matt; definately gives me something to think about..
Another great article Matt.
I’m reading Noam Chomsky’s “Hegemony or Survival” right now about the ongoing US initiative to dominate the world both militarily and economically. It’s his opinion that any nation or group that poses even a symbolic threat to that goal ends up on the US hit list. This isn’t about neutralizing a threat to world security, it’s about asserting a US claim to the right to dominate the world.
As far as ballistic missile defence goes, it’s a cash cow that will make the defence industry even wealthier. The simple fact is counter-measures are far easier to develope than effective interceptors. Missile warheads now routinely carry decoys and the Russians have systems that can manoeuver in the terminal stage making interception nearly impossible. Warheads can also be equipped with thermal cooling and stealth shaping making radar and infrared detection problematic.
Ronnie Raygun wanted to build something even more ambitious than this in the eighties, then as now it was a stupid idea and was really intended as part of an aggressive posture and a windfall for the defence industry.
Damien, amended.
I will say one thing though, because I probably should have gone into far more detail than I did regarding CANDU’s, but the typical plutonium in the light water spent fuel at normal irradiation is reactor grade. It’s plutonium 239. That is weapons grade. The CANDU would have to produce almost pure 238 for it not to be weapons grade.
Obviously the matter is complex and we’d have to go into who has been suspected of this and that in each different scenario.
[quote comment="57922"]Have you ever considered going into teaching? You could plan your tours during the school breaks, writing during the summer and teaching the masses during the school year [/quote]
Brilliant idea!
We are seeing a large Western bias. Seems like we’re almost repeating the whole Columbus debacle again, thinking that people who aren’t like us are “savages,” “immoral,” and “stupid.” We’re stupid to think this. Iran, or any other Muslim country is not just going to nuke someone for the sake of doing it. They’re smarter than we realize. Remember, they do have the capabilities and they weren’t just handed the keys to missiles and told “Enjoy!”
Saudi Arabia is definitely our bigger concern, but since they have the cash, and other powers, they are completely ignored.
BMD is just some more fear mongering and propaganda by the States. They want you to feel scared and make you think that they are protecting you from the boogeyman. That’s how they obtain your support.
I was just wondering what you think, Matt, about Cameco buying millions upon millions of dollars of uranium from the States via Iraq and bringing it into Canada?
CANDU reactors also produce Tritium which can be used in thermonuclear weapons which are much more powerful than fission bombs.
India detonated a 45 kt thermonuclear weapon in 1998 and may have produced it from tritium it collected from its CANDU reactors. The deployed weapon would have a 200 kt yield.
Thank you Matt for removing that section, I appreciate the fairness you use in your entries.
To Doug, while you can extract tritium from CANDUs (and any other type of reactor that uses water somewhere near the core), I doubt that the Indians got their tritium from a CANDU for a simple reason. They have two large pool type heavy water reactors, which would allow for the much easier removal of tritium without having to deal with the unpleasant nature of the primary coolant from CANDUs, which would require more time and a more complicated process to extract.
More information regarding India and the use of the Cirus reactor for weapons purposes…
And also there is the Kanupp reactor in Karachi, Sind, Pakistan, made by GE Canada which is a PHWR. Pakistan only has three reactors, one of which won’t be completed for some time. So it’s safe to assume that they have used a Canadian made reactor to produce nuclear weapons grade materials.
[quote comment="57940"]
To Doug, while you can extract tritium from CANDUs (and any other type of reactor that uses water somewhere near the core), I doubt that the Indians got their tritium from a CANDU for a simple reason. They have two large pool type heavy water reactors, which would allow for the much easier removal of tritium without having to deal with the unpleasant nature of the primary coolant from CANDUs, which would require more time and a more complicated process to extract.[/quote]
Canada extracts tritium from the Darlington nuclear plant and India has developed the same ability on its own.
There’s no question that a transfer of technology from Canada (and other countries) has allowed the development of the Indian nuclear weapons program.
I’m not saying it can’t be done. I’m saying that I’d bet that the Indian tritium doesn’t come from their CANDU, because they had 2 reactors to extract small amounts of tritium from in a much easier way. Also, fuel and technology are different things all together. Just because there is a CANDU in India doesn’t mean we helped them develop a design for a thermonuclear weapon. They did that on their own. Once again the point I’m trying to make is that power reactor and weapons development are separate, and that ignoring that distinction is a mistake. I’m also noting that CANDU technology is not used in nuclear weapons proliferation because it really isn’t efficient to do so. There are better ways to get plutonium and tritium than trying to mess around with a CANDU, and certainly no way to make a bomb from any technology we supplied them in the reactor.
I’m impressed but not surprised by your mention of Ceasefire. Good on you. You’re something of a hero.
I’m devestated, really. You know, if these plans are going to be realized in full, I personally will be living surrounded northeast to south by US heavy weaponry. Since I am living in the beautiful town of Dresden which is situated far east in germany, about 50 km from the czech border and about 80 from the polish I will have it all right in front of my door. NOBODY ever asked the people in the czech republic or poland for their oppinion on this momentous step in european history.
It’s the more devastating as everyone knows that the installment of these gun systems is of no other purpose for the USA than to gain better position in the meaning of reach and strategy regarding it’s plans in the middle east and to rattle sabres towards Russia.
How can all this happen in the midst of Europe without Europeans being able to decide on it?? There’s something terribly wrong for my taste.
Great Entry Matt, I’m with you in every single point.
And as for this:
“One has to ask a basic question at this point – what if the Saudis wanted to possess a nuclear capability?”
I don’t know how the US would think about it if it was the Saudis wanting to produce nuclear weapons. But as for the United Arab Emirates, the US outspokenly welcome and support the idea. There are even contracts closed dealing with the installment of nuclear powerplants in the emirates the US playing a key role in that.
[quote]
One has to ask a basic question at this point – what if the Saudis wanted to possess a nuclear capability?
[/quote]
Take a look at Israel and you’ll have your answer. If it has the potential to benefit the US, they will do as they please. If it turned out to be a threat to the US, they’ll have all the more reason to use force in their neck of the woods.
From the Drudge Report. On the firing of 9 missiles by Iran:
“U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice called Wednesday’s tests “evidence that the missile threat is not an imaginary one.”
“Those who say that there is no Iranian missile threat against which we should build a missile defense system perhaps ought to talk to the Iranians about their claims,” Rice said while traveling in Sofia, Bulgaria.
On Tuesday, Rice and Czech counterpart Karel Schwarzenberg signed a deal allowing the U.S. to base a missile defense shield in the Czech Republic.”
The range of the the missiles tested, which I’m going to write an entry about today, cannot reach Europe. And any BMD system based in Poland and the Czech republic would have no time to counter them if they were used. Again, they’re missiles, not nuclear missiles.
cough*november*cough…oh, excuse me